The definition of a fad varies a little from dictionary to dictionary but essentially what they all boil down to is this (from Wiktionary):
“A phenomenon that becomes popular for a very short time”
There is no denying that the iphone meets at least half the definition of a fad. It has become very popular in a very short period. Not long enough to make it to the list of enduring fads like the Rubik’s Cube or Skateboards.
In fact it wasn’t until the second iphone was created and launched world wide just over a year ago now that it really began to pick up pace.
The question is though, will the iphone just turn out to be a fad? Will all the cool kids be carrying around the next Motorola, Nokia or LG by this time next year?
One thing we can be sure of is that it’s starting to lose its street cred or “geek cred” as some call it. When you see grannies and stay at home mums using a phone that used to be the sole the domain of designers and the “technorati” you know it’s nearing the end of its adoption lifecycle. In fact someone did a lot of research into this a while ago and came up with something called Roger’s bell curve and the technology adoption lifecycle. The iphone is indeed in the late majority phase (where your slower than average adopters are). In other words it is no longer cool. Sorry Mr Stephen Fry.
This by no means proves it as a fad. No more than being called a shiny, stupid toy by the haters does.
What all this leads me to is an article I read about the death of the Croc shoe. Who’s death unlike the iphone I could not possibly even shed a single tear for. What an ugly, ugly excuse for a shoe. At least the iphone looks nice.
You know those stupid pieces of footwear that started off as a fairly niche product suited for a single purpose that were very well marketed as being a shiny all rounder type shoe that might even work on public pavements. Kind of like sticking a phone on a multimedia player and calling it a smartphone. Yes! I am going somewhere. Crocs are to shoes as iphones are to, well … phones.
The article - named How Crocs Crashed was very positive and actually went on not to so much focus on how the Crocs fad failed but how you can keep your brand fresh. What I got out of it being a negative nelly and all is the exact opposite. I saw the massive parallels between what Apple are doing right and what they are doing wrong.
The keys to keeping a brand “hot” from Ries’ pieces. Along with my iphone take on them:
1. Dampen demand
This is one thing Apple certainly isn’t doing. In fact they’re adding so much fuel to the iphone fire I’m beginning to wonder whether they were behind the invasion of Iraq.
You just can’t escape the brand in Sydney. If you’re not walking past an Apple store you’re looking at an Apple ad on the back of a bus, on the side of a bus shelter in a magazine, newspaper. They’ve even managed to convince the media that there is no other phone. I’m sure this is the same in any major first world city.
Apple’s marketing department are flogging the iphone for all its worth. It’s almost as if they think it might dissapear overnight. A sure sign of a fad if ever there was a good sign.
2. Resist line extension
This is one area in which Apple, at least when it comes to the iphone, have managed to resist all temptation. Even when their biggest fans have yelled and screamed about it. If you pay any attention to the iphone you would have heard the rumours about the iphone nano, the apple tablet and a qwerty iphone. That’s it. They’re all rumours.
You maybe applauding Apple right now and thinking how smart their marketing department are. However, they aren’t just doing it because they’ve read Ries’ blog. They’re doing it because they’ve seen what it does to the big boys’ profit margins. It reduces them, drastically. In fact Nokia barely make a few dollars on most of their phones while Apple continue to make hundreds.
Apple initially did the right thing in this area by making the phone exclusive to a particular provider in a particular country but the lock-in in their biggest market, the USA, is starting to have a damaging effect.
No longer is the AT&T/Apple partnership considered exclusive. It’s now considered a burden by an ever increasing portion of Apple’s customer and potential customer base. People might actually soon be ditching their iphones just because of AT&T.
4. Focus on Core Consumers
This is probably what will finally lose the battle for Apple. That young, technology savvy and high disposable income core that the iphone rode the wave of are now starting to tire of it. The endless lock in, the lack of customisation, the ever growing list of wants will finally be fulfilled by someone else if Apple don’t pay attention to it. This is where the flood gates will open and the wave of oppressed customers will finally escape. It will only take someone to open it and like the Croc the wave will just go somewhere else.
5. Expand globally
Well you can’t fault Apple on this one. They did this, but as with the Croc Apple flooded the market. There’s some countries that Apple just stepped into too quickly and lost a lot of face and rapport doing so.
Will the iphone just turn out to be a fad or it will it stay with us? Only time will tell but there’s no doubting that given some of the warning signs it will be an interesting product to follow.
Full disclosure: I am actually the author of iphones suck so I come full of bias. This is a blog after all and what are blogs if not opinionated.




With the storm of controversy over Nokia’s Ovi Store slowly starting to settle the nitty gritty of the store’s features are starting to become clear. In this article I will present what I found to be the best content on offer and also some of the worst. All prices have been listed in Australian Dollars. As we usually pay a high price for most products in this country you’ll probably find most things are half the price in Euros or US Dollars.
The Ovi Store is chocked full of mobile travel guides from DK and Lonely Planet. I have used these before and believe me, when you’re on holidays and traveling around 10+ European cities in a month you don’t want to drag around 10 different guide books. For the same price as a paper city guide I’d buy 10 of the mobile versions instead.







