Archive for the ‘Opinion’ Category

Why Australia will remain in the digital dark ages for some time to come

Thursday, March 12th, 2009

A close friend today was discussing mobile internet with me. I forced him to when I started ranting today about the fact that Vodafone want to charge you $10 a month extra for 100mb of Internet access on your mobile whilst I can get a whole gigabyte for $19 a month if I use one of those USB sticks. Don’t use Vodafone, they’re just one example of why we’ll be stuck in the dark ages for a long long time. Anyway I digress.

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Why Nokia might soon find itself behind Apple and the iphone

Wednesday, March 4th, 2009

First off – I need to admit I’ve had an on again, off again love and hate affair with Nokia. They’ve sold me many horrible phones over the years but there’s one thing they’ve always managed to get right and that’s user interface (UI). They’re also pretty good on the vast number of features as well. Given that the iphone also has a pretty good UI and may just fix all its feature flaws in the some time to be up and coming third generation this leaves Nokia in between a rock and hard place in terms of compelling things to offer. I also have to admit I hate iphones. I can’t get used to using such a tiny touch screen keyboard and I find the UI a bit like playing with Duplo or Lego.

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How low can interest rates in Australia go?

Wednesday, February 18th, 2009

We’ve been receiving a constant flurry of interest rate cuts in Australia and indeed the rest of the world. Here’s a list of the major central banks’ current official interest rates:

Institution Interest rate
Bank of Canada 1%
Bank of England 1%
Bank of Japan 0.1%
European Central Bank 2%
Federal Reserve 0.25%
Swiss National Bank 0.5%
The Reserve Bank of Australia 3.25%

So with Japan and the USA almost running at 0% I pose and attempt to answer the question – “How low can Australia’s interest rates go?”.

Interest rates have been used as a measure to control inflation in good times by increasing the cost of capital and in bad times to stimulate borrowing and hence investment into capital.  This practise has been going on in one form or another since the Renaissance but it’s only really been strictly enforced since
the great depression.

Japan has had interest rates of near zero percent for over a decade now. It economy is in a slump. It seems as if it has nowhere to go and indeed this may be true. Capitalism relies on one basic principle. If you’re not growing you’re shrinking and it appears Japan is doing exactly that.

The greater the economy the more power it has to be able to reduce its interest rates to near zero percent. With the US still the largest economy in the world and Japan and China battling it out for second all three can afford to cut interest rates to practically zero to stimulate growth. However, It is not without cost.

A central bank needs to get its money from somewhere and with near zero interest rates the costs can be quite high. Either draining reserves or causing the  country to blow out its foreign debt.

Australia does not have the clout globally to sustain near zero percent interest rates for very long. I’m not saying we couldn’t have 1% or there abouts soon but I really don’t see a sustained policy of very low interest rates. We just couldn’t afford it.

On a side note I don’t think as end consumers we’ll ever see anything less than 3.5% or there abouts as the big banks have so much power in this country that they’ll fight tooth and nail against any loss in their margin (the difference between official rates and home loan rates). You can see this in action now with many credit cards still charging close to 20% interest despite official rates having halved over the last year.

So in conclusion. If you were hoping for really, really cheap money I’m afraid you just aren’t going to get it. Australians are an optimistic bunch anyway. Can you imagine if we all had access to super cheap cash? We’d be up to our eyeballs in debt and flatscreen TVs.

Doom and Gloom

Wednesday, February 4th, 2009

Malcolm Turnbull MP. You sir, are an idiot.

The country is not falling to pieces and if it was why would you want to block a deficit designed to stimulate the economy.

On Government Handouts

Tuesday, February 3rd, 2009

It’s been a while since I’ve written anything interesting. If you remember back I’d actually run out of things to blog about.

Today the Rudd government announced that low and middle income earners would all be given a cash bonus up to $950.

“Great” you say. Well I beg to differ.

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I’ve run out of things to blog, facebook, twitter, status message about

Thursday, December 18th, 2008

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I am a terrorist, murderer and purveyor of porn

Thursday, November 20th, 2008

Sorry ignore the title. I’m not really any of those. I’m actually just trying to prove a point.  That social networking and tools can sometime expose just a little bit too much about you. Not convinced?

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The looming censorship of the Internet

Saturday, November 1st, 2008

The Rudd government has somehow, quite successfully managed to cover up their attempts to censor the Internet. Their plan started off as almost a good idea. Provide opt in filtering of objectionable material on the Internet. Sounds great doesn’t it.  Parents could rely on a centralised, more efficiently  managed filter.
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A brief word on “democracy”

Friday, October 31st, 2008

With the US elections coming up I thought I’d comment on why I believe the US is not a democracy.

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